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Edition of Thursday, 12 November 2026English edition
The Geopolitician

Country risk, from the local press

Turkey · Country watch

Turkey's Inflation Forecast Rises, BUDO Cancellations

Turkey's central bank raises inflation forecast to 29.5%; BUDO cancels ferry services due to adverse weather.

The picture Deteriorating How this is judged →

Business conditions in Turkey are deteriorating as the central bank raises the inflation forecast to 29.5%, indicating higher costs and financial strain. Adverse weather disrupts logistics with BUDO ferry cancellations.

In this briefing Fatih Karahan · Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey · Bursa Deniz Otobüsleri · Turkish Statistical Institute

Regulation

  • Finance

Turkey's Inflation Forecast Raised to 29.5%

Part of: Turkey's Central Bank adjusts monetary policy amid inflation risks →

a city next to a body of water
engin akyurt / Unsplash

The Central Bank of Turkey has raised its 2026 year-end inflation forecast to 29.5%, according to Central Bank Governor Fatih Karahan. The increase is attributed to the impact of ongoing geopolitical tensions and rising energy prices. The bank also provided forecasts for the coming years, predicting inflation to drop to 21% in 2027 and 13.5% in 2028. This adjustment was announced during the presentation of the year's final inflation report, as reported by Radikal-Rss and Haber Turk.

Impact Lenders and borrowers face higher inflation expectations, affecting interest rates and financial planning.

Sources: Radikal-Rss (Son Dakika) ↗, Haber Turk ↗

Disruption

  • Logistics

BUDO Cancels Ferry Services Due to Weather

Bursa Deniz Otobüsleri (BUDO) cancelled ten ferry services on 12 November due to adverse weather conditions, according to Vatan and Haberler.com. The cancellations affected routes between Mudanya and Istanbul, as well as Armutlu and Istanbul. The disruptions were announced early in the day and impacted both morning and afternoon schedules.

Impact Logistics and commuter services between Bursa and Istanbul face delays and disruptions due to ferry cancellations.

Sources: Vatan ↗, Haberler.com ↗

Markets

Turkey's Export and Import Indices Rise in September

Turkey's export unit value index increased by 7% in September compared to the same month last year, while the import unit value index rose by 12.7%, according to data released by TÜİK and reported by Milatgazetesi.COM and STAR. The export quantity index also showed a 7.8% increase, indicating a positive trend in Turkey's trade performance.

Impact Exporters and importers in Turkey see rising trade values, reflecting increased costs and demand.

Sources: milatgazetesi.COM ↗, STAR ↗

Nothing significant reported today in Internal tension · Safety & health · Companies · Trade · Politics.

Also today in the local press

Sources in this briefing

Sources: each headline links to the original article on the publisher's site.

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