Russia · Country watch
Moscow Exchange Falls, IMF Oil Price Forecast
Moscow Exchange indices decline; IMF raises global oil price forecast, impacting energy markets.
In this briefing International Monetary Fund · Moscow Exchange · Silvana Tenreyro · World Bank
Regulation
Nothing significant reported today.
Disruption
Nothing significant reported today.
Internal tension
Nothing significant reported today.
Safety & health
Nothing significant reported today.
Companies
Nothing significant reported today.
Markets
IMF raises 2026 global oil price forecast
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has significantly raised its forecast for average global oil prices in 2026, according to Lenta.ru and infox.ru. This adjustment reflects expectations of higher demand and potential supply constraints. The revised forecast suggests that prices will exceed 2025 levels, impacting global energy markets and economies reliant on oil imports and exports.
Impact Energy companies and oil-dependent industries face higher costs as global oil prices are expected to rise.
Sources: Lenta.ru ↗, infox.ru ↗
Moscow Exchange indices decline at session open
The Moscow Exchange opened with a decline in its main indices, with the MOEX and RTS indices both shedding 0.13%, according to Tass. The MOEX index eased to 2,390.78 points, while the RTS index fell to 897.51 points. The decline is attributed to profit-taking by investors amid ongoing geopolitical risks and fluctuating oil prices.
Impact Investors in Russian equities see a minor decline in index values as geopolitical risks and oil prices influence market sentiment.
Sources: Tass ↗
Trade
Nothing significant reported today.
Politics
IMF warns of global economic resilience limits
Silvana Tenreyro, the chief economist of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), warned that the global economy's resilience is nearing its limits due to rising public debt servicing costs, Izvestia reports. Speaking at the IMF and World Bank's autumn meetings in Bangkok, Tenreyro highlighted the strain on countries' budgetary reserves, which could impact fiscal stability worldwide.
Impact Financial institutions and governments face increased pressure to manage debt servicing costs, affecting fiscal policies.
Sources: Izvestia ↗
Also today in Russia
- FACTBOX: What we know about measures to stabilize fuel market, gas station prices — Tass
- Brent остается в минусе и торгуется у $105,9 за баррель — interfax
- Maximal interest rate on ruble deposits reach 13.06% in early October — Tass
- Мексике все больше приходится торговаться за условия в отношениях с США — RG.ru Rossiyskaya Gazeta
- ‘People have a right to seek answers’: Inside India’s unrest over the electoral process — RT
- Рубль утром продолжает немного повышаться в паре с юанем на Московской бирже — interfax
- Situation around Zaporozhye nuclear plant tense, pressure palpable — director — Tass
- Число случаев заражения Эболой в ДР Конго превысило девять тысяч — RG.ru Rossiyskaya Gazeta
Sources in this briefing
Sources: each headline links to the original article on the publisher's site.
The same day elsewhere
- Argentina: Gas Subsidy Cuts; Paraná River Floods; Inflation Rises
- Brazil: Lula's SME Credit Boost, New Consumer Rules
- Canada: Ontario Drug Rule, TC Energy Deal, Alberta Vote
- China: HK Green Trading Pilot, Mainland Stocks Fall
- Colombia: Coal Exports Resume, Power Rationing Deadline Set
- Germany: IMF Boosts German Growth, Starlink Sabotage Arrests
- Egypt: Egypt's Trade Deficit Widens, Journalists Detained
- Spain: Madrid Metro Safety Risk, ID Finance Raises €545M
- France: IMF Lowers France Growth, Cyberattack Hits Supermarkets
- United Kingdom: Cyberattack Hits UK Fashion Brands, Scottish Economy Rebounds
- Indonesia: IHSG Declines, Minimum Wage Proposal, Forest Fires
- Israel: Ben-Gurion Bomb Threat, Israir Freezes Morocco Sales
- India: IMD Weather Alert, Delhi Protests Impact Business
- Iraq: Iraq Customs Revenue Rises, Telecom Faces Subscriber Loss
- Iran: Iran-Azerbaijan Agreements, Dollar Declines
- Italy: New Road Code, Budget Delays, Cybersecurity Concerns
- Japan: Nikkei Plunge, Hokkaido Storm Warning, BOJ Rate Relief
- Kenya: Nairobi Water Shutdown, KRA Revenue Surge
- South Korea: KOSPI Plummets, LS Electric Secures US Deal
- Lebanon: Lebanon Seeks IMF Support, US Revives Framework Deal
- Morocco: Pharma Price Revisions, Treasury Deficit Drops
- Mexico: Senate Tightens Customs Law, Sheinbaum Offers Tax Incentives
- Malaysia: MyEG Investigation; Malaysia Airlines Cancels Flights
- Nigeria: US Blacklists Nigeria, Tinubu's Legislative Push
- Netherlands: Albert Heijn Cyberattack, Dutch Economy Growth Revised
- Poland: Senate Passes Internet Bill, RCB Alert Ends
- Portugal: Portugal Inflation Rises, Madeira Launches SMS Alerts
- Senegal: Senegal Water Disruptions, Flood Audit Ordered
- Syria: Fuel Arrivals in Baniyas, Currency Pressure Rises
- Turkey: IMF Revises Turkey's Growth, Kocaeli Traffic Ban
- Ukraine: Ukraine Delays Payments, Train Disruptions Persist
- United States: Six Flags Closes Rides, Measles Spurs Vaccinations
- Vietnam: Techcombank Boosts Capital, US Increases Vietnam Pepper Imports
- South Africa: Supplement Crackdown Risks R22bn Industry, Water Disruption